GBP/USD: Weekly Technical Analysis for May 15, 2012

 

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.6109.

GBP/USD:

Resistance: 1.6235. (Sell below this level).
Support: 1.5970. (Buy above this level).

Trading Recommendations: 

According to previous events, the price is still located between the levels 1.5955 and 1.6290.

 

The descending movement will probably take place lower than the 1.6235 level with the first targets at levels 1.6160 and 1.6100 then 1.6025. BUY-deals are recommended higher than the 1.5970 level with targets at levels 1.6075 and 1.623.

Overview:
It should be mentioned that the market revealed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in a narrow sideways channel. Concerning previous events, the price is still between the levels 1.5955 and 1.629, so it is recommended to be cautious while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably indicate the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, BUY-deals are recommended higher than the 1.5970 level with its first target at the level of 1.6075. From this point the pair is likely to begin the ascending movement to the point 1.62 and further to the level 1.6233. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6235, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level 1.6235  In this regard, SELL-deals are recommended lower than the 1.6240 level with the first target at 1.6160. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.61 then 1.6025.

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USD/JPY Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points for May 14 – 18, 2012

 

The weekly pivot chart for USD/JPY indicates that the pivot points are placed according to the maximums and minimums. This chart will enable to place Stop Take Profits or Stop Losses. These Pivot Levels are some sort of a trading map that will allow you to know beforehand the possible increases and declines of the pair.
Therefore, it is recommended to open short positions at the R1 level and long positions at the S1 level. If the weekly pivot is considered as target, it may turn to be a feasible strategy for swing trading. The strategy can be used in other way: it is possible to open long positions in S2 positions and short R2 weekly with S1 or R1 as seen weekly targets or to the pivot point.

 

 

 

____WEEKLY_____
Weekly – R3 = 80.84
Weekly – R2 = 80.46
Weekly – R1 = 80.19
Weekly Pivot = 79.81
Weekly – S1 = 79.54
Weekly – S2 = 79.16
Weekly – S3 = 78.89

 

 

____MONTHLY______
Monthly – R3 = 85.74
Monthly – R2 = 84.51
Monthly – R1 = 82.18
Monthly Pivot = 80.95
Monthly – S1 = 78.62
Monthly – S2 = 77.39
Monthly – S3 = 75.06

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EUR/JPY Candlestick Analysis for May 15, 2012

Daily

As it was expected, yesterday the EUR/JPY pair has managed to elaborate the Fibonacci correction level of 61.8%. Moreover, the quotes were fixed below this level though this fact cannot be considered as a convincing. Therefore, if this fixation is stronger, quotes are expected to drop further towards correction level of 76.4% – 100.42. In case this fixation is false, especially if a bearish formation is formed near this level, the rate will be able to restore slightly towards the Fibonacci level of 50.0% – 104.22. The bearish formation Harami points at the downside movement. There were no patterns that may influence the pair’s movement.

4h

On the 4H timeframe the situation is the same. The rate has dropped a bit lower than the Fibonacci correction level of 161.8%. In case the rate declines further, the fixation will be considered as more convincing. As a result. The forecast for both timeframes will coincide and the pair will try to go down to the level of figure 100 (100.42 – 76.4% of Fibonacci on the daily timeframe).
In general during the last days the pair remained on the same place. A lot of new different candlestick patterns were formed. Nevertheless, yesterday the bearish Absorption pattern was formed forecasting the further decline of quotes.

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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 15, 2012

The AUD/USD pair is developing an impulse wave A (light green in the chart) of the medium term downtrend comprising four subwaves (magenta in the chart) and a potential corrective subwave 4 developing from 1.0944.

Presently the immediate resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0219-0.9944, 1.0142-0.9944.

Resistances:

- 1.0020 = .382 retracement
- 1.0043-49 = confluence area of .50 and .382 retracements
- 1.0066 = .618 ret
- 1.0082 = .50 ret

If the downtrend resumes, the immediate supports will be Fibonacci expansions of 1.0473-1.0110-1.0219, 1.0219-1.0020-1.0142.

Supports:

- 0.9943 = objective point (OP)
- 0.9856 = OP
- 0.9820 = expanded objective point (XOP)

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving down, so it’s prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (current prices as well); consider the possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

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USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for May 15, 2012

TODAY’s   TECHNICAL   LEVEL :

Resistance. 3 : 80.26.

Resistance. 2 : 80.10.

Resistance. 1 : 79.95.

Support. 1 : 79.75.

Support. 2 : 79.60.

Support. 3 : 79.44.

 

DESCRIPTION :P lease consider the support 3 (79.44) and resistance 3 (80.26) levels. In general, when a level has been reached, the USD/JPY pair will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign of that these currencies have found today’s trends.
 

 

 

Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com

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